osmminog
0x291d4e2a3662bfd36a52baba9582519980418e36
- Realised P&L
- $-89.04
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 804
- Open portfolio
- $45.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded804
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.04at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?
- +$20.57at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$13.60at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$12.60at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$12.37at 0.201Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-09 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-09 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 10-09 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-09 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-09 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-09 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-09 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-08 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 10-08 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-08 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-08 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-08 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |