0x29178ce0b2be3e6e51334cd39e885246fad80cc2-1793180865562
0x29178ce0b2be3e6e51334cd39e885246fad80cc2
- Realised P&L
- $-46.33
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $347.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30? · Yes | 0.001 | 1.000 | $347.46 | +$347.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$2.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $0.05 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.05at 0.480Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.08at 0.001Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?
- +$-0.24at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 30?
- +$-0.28at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 29?
- +$-0.29at 0.001Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 10-31 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 10-30 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.68 |
| 10-30 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.29 |
| 10-30 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.24 |
| 10-28 14:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-28 14:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |