0x290A49de0Ad5EBb019d16a61ADd557c1e10451FE-1771630548567
0x290a49de0ad5ebb019d16a61add557c1e10451fe
- Realised P&L
- $-818.15
- Volume
- $35.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $74.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.652 | $58.25 | +$33.25 |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.075 | $15.75 | −$38.78 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.05 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-18.00at 0.500US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
- +$-20.85at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
- +$-36.61at 0.149Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
- +$-480.18at 0.052Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:16 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-13 17:16 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $18.39 |
| 06-01 08:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.0170873512 | $49.98 |
| 05-22 21:58 | Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | BUY | 0.2775574878 | $25.00 |
| 05-22 21:56 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 05-22 21:55 | Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.2798285148 | $25.00 |
| 05-22 21:53 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | BUY | 0.1495078135 | $55.00 |
| 05-20 16:47 | Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | BUY | 0.2462474983 | $29.53 |
| 05-19 17:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | SELL | 0.22 | $31.43 |
| 05-15 18:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $138.05 |
| 05-12 20:40 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.0118945923 | $141.35 |
| 05-08 05:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0572540924 | $528.55 |
| 05-05 03:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0219999986 | $14.93 |
| 05-03 21:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $50.00 |
| 05-03 21:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0253360283 | $50.00 |