dfsakjndl
0x28ffda2e8be0e7a0a7593ca9fc1476c69a1841bd
- Realised P&L
- $-149.69
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $49.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.018 | $49.70 | −$149.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.89at 0.810Packers vs. Vikings
- +$1.00at 0.230ICE shooter charged by March 31?
- +$0.80at 0.790Seahawks vs. 49ers
- +$0.53at 0.850Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$0.48at 0.750Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 06:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0739925558 | $198.80 |
| 01-10 01:20 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $6.75 |
| 01-10 01:20 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 01-09 07:06 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.44 |
| 01-09 03:19 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 01-08 11:29 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 01-08 11:29 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 01-07 10:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 01-06 01:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 01-06 01:36 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 01-06 01:36 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.48 |
| 01-06 01:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 01-05 10:04 | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 01-05 00:30 | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 01-05 00:28 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |