0x28fdb9462eaf54cbec27c26b261751aec7a93c05
- Realised P&L
- $4.45
- Volume
- $188.51
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $19.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.69at 0.730Will Trump say "Tariff" during remarks in Georgia?
- +$1.89at 0.460Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$1.89at 0.370Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.380Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.76at 0.422Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:51 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | BUY | 0.5079999878 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:42 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $135 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:42 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:41 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 17:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:57 | Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:56 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:09 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999783 | $1.42 |
| 08-01 05:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |
| 07-31 21:06 | Will Palantir say "Insurance" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5399999727 | $1.98 |
| 07-31 13:03 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |
| 07-30 01:23 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |