kawakaaaaa
0x28f407fc8c448747bc9718cf3d76551018830f69
- Realised P&L
- $-0.12
- Volume
- $231.82
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $10.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.955 | $3.76 | +$0.06 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.805 | $3.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.780 | $1.67 | −$0.19 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.940 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.32at 0.940Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.973Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?
- +$0.18at 0.944Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.956Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.958Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:27 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999898 | $3.70 |
| 10-07 09:20 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.88999998 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 09:20 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439997332 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 19:13 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999985 | $5.32 |
| 10-06 06:10 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999532 | $1.86 |
| 10-06 06:10 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 14:49 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:17 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:43 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:41 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:39 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:39 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:39 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |