0x28f33612d3257d19b0572a03e0b7a7cbc606af5e
0x28f33612d3257d19b0572a03e0b7a7cbc606af5e
- Realised P&L
- $-355.35
- Volume
- $182.6k
- Markets traded
- 622
- Open portfolio
- $303.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded622
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.55at 0.529Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 2?
- +$184.28at 0.675Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31?
- +$152.92at 0.715Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?
- +$121.67at 0.719Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?
- +$100.78at 0.908Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:58 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 10-19 13:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 08:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 17? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.99 |
| 10-13 16:29 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4379999959 | $45.00 |
| 10-13 16:28 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 16:27 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 10-13 16:12 | Will Udo Di Fabio be the next President of Germany? | BUY | 0.8699999968 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 16:07 | Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 10-12 15:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.997 | $124.63 |
| 10-12 15:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? | SELL | 0.981 | $30.41 |
| 10-12 12:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? | BUY | 0.956 | $29.64 |
| 10-12 10:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.8 | $13.22 |
| 10-12 08:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.967 | $15.74 |
| 10-11 08:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.01 |
| 10-11 08:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.04 |