PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x463c16c5A310aFD0dB33c986CBFff0848bd237e1-1764768499922

0x28f1969b94dd5acbe5082cb8cc0fd47abaa0f2c3

Realised P&L
$-41.53
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$489.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes0.2690.127$475.19−$536.81
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.6470.388$5.99−$4.01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6600.725$5.49+$0.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0430.029$2.74−$1.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.2350.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.1680.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Down0.3330.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Down0.0920.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.0180.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.1970.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down0.6750.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 18:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.589999997$48.68
10-27 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.629999995$10.00
10-27 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.5899999841$10.00
10-27 18:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.3699999867$10.00
10-27 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.2799999997$40.00
10-27 18:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.6699999971$50.00
10-27 18:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.7399999926$7.95
10-27 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.8999999989$80.00
10-27 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.02$5.00
10-27 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.269999993$5.00
10-27 17:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.6099999756$5.00
10-27 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.589999998$50.00
10-27 17:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.5599999986$31.00
10-27 17:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-27 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.2299999517$1.00