PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Focusless

0x28eb424e0ba50b9b3b11dc6b5b592668ba2f2fac

Realised P&L
$-312.69
Volume
$28.5k
Markets traded
279
Open portfolio
$3.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded279
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 18? · Yes0.0090.021$1.32+$0.74
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 19? · Yes0.0100.010$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.0100.005$0.55$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.0050.002$0.40$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 19? · Yes0.0400.010$0.30$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.0100.001$0.10$0.90
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.00
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$5.00
Will there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00$1.00
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 16? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will "Million" or "Billion" be said 10+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5? · No0.0150.000$0.00$5.00
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:08Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 19?BUY0.04$0.51
09-17 18:04Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.005$0.60
09-17 18:03Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.009$0.58
09-16 10:13Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.005$1.00
09-16 10:13Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.0077193495$1.00
03-14 17:30Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 17?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
03-14 17:29Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 18?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
03-14 17:28Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 18?BUY0.972$40.00
03-14 08:12Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 16?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
03-14 08:07Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on March 15?BUY0.9977835805$100.00
03-14 08:07Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 15?BUY0.9930166148$100.00
03-14 07:56Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 16?BUY0.3707316485$2.00
03-13 12:36Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 15?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
03-13 12:36Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 15?BUY0.3205438927$2.00
03-13 02:18Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 14?BUY0.2099998677$1.00