0x28Ea995073C9392367AAE13C2070C0B09E9B35CF-1773430834467
0x28ea995073c9392367aae13c2070c0b09e9b35cf
- Realised P&L
- $0.11
- Volume
- $30.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $22.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $22.90 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.994Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.15at 0.988Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 3?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 07-06 07:29 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.03 |
| 06-29 07:08 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-22 06:34 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.16 |
| 05-15 08:13 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-11 03:52 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.25 |
| 05-11 03:52 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.60 |
| 04-27 08:44 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.007 | $8.12 |
| 04-15 06:42 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-15 06:42 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-11 05:28 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 04-09 12:30 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $9.04 |
| 04-09 08:51 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.17 |
| 04-02 08:16 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $5.04 |
| 04-02 08:16 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.04 |