twoplustwo
0x28e8a761435a28ca34d77a72b553e0b594cd6080
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $491.2k
- Markets traded
- 801
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded801
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.096Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
- +$4.3kat 0.437Pistons vs. Celtics
- +$1.3kat 0.451Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
- +$1.1kat 0.481New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
- +$1.1kat 0.510San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:26 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $21.42 |
| 07-30 12:34 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $10.29 |
| 07-30 12:34 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $10.29 |
| 07-24 19:50 | New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 07-23 05:14 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $48.88 |
| 07-23 05:13 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $3.76 |
| 07-22 20:44 | San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $102.72 |
| 07-22 20:44 | San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $205.86 |
| 07-21 23:35 | San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $14.52 |
| 07-21 23:35 | San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $14.96 |
| 07-21 12:53 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $7.52 |
| 07-21 12:53 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $7.52 |
| 07-21 12:43 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 07-20 21:52 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $116.80 |
| 07-20 21:52 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $281.20 |