0x28e7c9ed6792b2539f1f372f4fb30b31a4cc13a1
0x28e7c9ed6792b2539f1f372f4fb30b31a4cc13a1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.51
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30? · No | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his rally in Oklahoma? · No | 0.060 | 0.055 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.007 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs · Zizou Bergs | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.60at 0.141Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings
- +$0.50at 0.682Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
- +$0.39at 0.733Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$0.37at 0.712Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$-1.09at 0.017Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:24 | Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs Bangladesh | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:02 | Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia | BUY | 0.0041956516 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:02 | Solana Up or Down - October 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:01 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:58 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:52 | Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:52 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:51 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:51 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:47 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | SELL | 0.87 | $13.38 |
| 10-01 03:17 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 03:16 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |