0x28e3b02ea06e799929104c0e72cd6f6e42fe05c9
0x28e3b02ea06e799929104c0e72cd6f6e42fe05c9
- Realised P&L
- $9.39
- Volume
- $376.14
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $12.83
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.595 | $3.22 | +$1.22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.285 | $2.48 | +$0.48 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.993 | $2.01 | +$0.43 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.755 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.165 | $1.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? · No | 0.770 | 0.765 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.755 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.27at 0.247Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.88at 0.340US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.72at 0.430Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$2.39at 0.462Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 17:40 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:40 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:39 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 13:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 05:28 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 20:58 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 22:44 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 09:06 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 01:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 11:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 19:07 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |