0x28e3b02ea06e799929104c0e72cd6f6e42fe05c9
- Realised P&L
- $7.02
- Volume
- $92.86
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $13.58
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.825 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in June? · No | 0.705 | 0.706 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.555 | $1.88 | −$0.12 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.900 | $1.82 | +$0.24 |
| Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.635 | $1.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · No | 0.800 | 0.725 | $1.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? · Yes | 0.285 | 0.124 | $0.87 | −$1.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.145 | $0.53 | −$1.47 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No | 0.370 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.350Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.510Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.390Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.83at 0.390Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.42at 0.590Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:10 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in June? | BUY | 0.7049998995 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:02 | Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:01 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? | BUY | 0.284999933 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:03 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 05:01 | Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.699999755 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 21:00 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 12:58 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.17 |
| 07-30 21:23 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 01:30 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 07:04 | Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.29 |
| 07-28 21:05 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 07-27 23:00 | Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5599999345 | $1.71 |
| 07-27 12:47 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.17 |