0x28e2bcb69ff34fb0950d502073de717a1edfd68f
0x28e2bcb69ff34fb0950d502073de717a1edfd68f
- Realised P&L
- $-58.22
- Volume
- $57.7k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $392.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.982 | $392.60 | +$112.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.81at 0.476Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$120.00at 0.077Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$103.54at 0.616Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?
- +$52.06at 0.185Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$51.53at 0.250Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 04:29 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.7 | $280.00 |
| 10-01 06:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 10:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7194887065 | $70.36 |
| 09-30 10:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6799999933 | $24.34 |
| 09-30 10:01 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.207 | $49.76 |
| 09-30 10:00 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.434 | $47.90 |
| 09-30 10:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6579902156 | $49.24 |
| 09-30 09:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6299999971 | $37.00 |
| 09-30 09:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.698850764 | $93.83 |
| 09-30 04:54 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4529540048 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 04:49 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2079999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 04:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 02:13 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.0104275287 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 22:37 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $120.63 |
| 07-19 21:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.86 | $59.96 |