SEC2
0x28e21bb953b61b74fd3043455a9e0f5b05ebdda6
- Realised P&L
- $21.92
- Volume
- $41.9k
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $61.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26? · No | 0.980 | 0.999 | $61.21 | +$1.13 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.38at 0.866Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14?
- +$4.30at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 1?
- +$3.87at 0.270Mavericks vs. Jazz
- +$3.72at 0.978Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?
- +$3.60at 0.280Hawks vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $60.07 |
| 09-25 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.14 |
| 09-24 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.60 |
| 09-24 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.64 |
| 09-23 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $58.51 |
| 09-23 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.54 |
| 09-22 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $58.01 |
| 09-22 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.08 |
| 09-21 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $56.40 |
| 09-21 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.44 |
| 09-20 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $55.94 |
| 09-20 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.00 |
| 09-19 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $54.94 |
| 09-19 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.90 |
| 09-18 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.19 |