kknd404
0x28d519d7dd57c43260865a7b9b66f813b476458b
- Realised P&L
- $-23.96
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $6.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.27at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
- +$2.22at 0.694Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 11?
- +$-0.55at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12?
- +$-0.73at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 12?
- +$-0.91at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 15:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0611494083 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.34 |
| 10-12 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.0601457819 | $1.70 |
| 10-12 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0813013722 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.011750775 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0277227719 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.015874342 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1764705841 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1239999943 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0328962821 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |