ThinhXoan
0x28c870190e08dcad6a4eb23cda372fa63d22e348
- Realised P&L
- $787.13
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $694.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $694.60 | −$139.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.617Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$0.01at 0.730Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-18.70at 0.025Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
- +$-217.76at 0.133Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 04:05 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1545656888 | $13.54 |
| 10-09 04:03 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.15 | $820.38 |
| 06-26 02:53 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6 | $111.68 |
| 06-26 02:47 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.2k |
| 02-28 17:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.94 |
| 02-28 17:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 12-06 14:01 | Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | SELL | 0.001625 | $1.30 |
| 12-06 14:01 | Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | SELL | 0.0066491395 | $11.44 |
| 12-05 14:09 | Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |