0x28c51c6c3792502cc23722fbbc48034e1dfc97e6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.74
- Volume
- $997.34
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $10.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? · No | 0.800 | 0.998 | $2.48 | +$0.49 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · No | 0.500 | 0.995 | $1.99 | +$0.99 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.745 | $1.39 | +$0.18 |
| Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.645 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.545 | $1.05 | −$0.38 |
| Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.200 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.160 | $0.83 | −$1.67 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.400 | 0.235 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.048 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.85at 0.277Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of March?
- +$5.83at 0.300Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$5.77at 0.268Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.85B?
- +$5.19at 0.288Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?
- +$4.42at 0.349Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 10:50 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Wisconsin events? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 06-03 11:03 | Will Trump say "Soybean" during Wisconsin events? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 06-03 10:59 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 4? | BUY | 0.6199999163 | $1.63 |
| 06-03 10:55 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 6? | BUY | 0.6799999022 | $1.39 |
| 06-03 10:26 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 3? | BUY | 0.2699999421 | $2.38 |
| 05-30 14:55 | Will "Senate" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.2909119432 | $2.42 |
| 05-30 14:50 | Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.45 |
| 05-29 10:00 | Will Trump say "UFC" this week? | BUY | 0.429999925 | $2.18 |
| 05-28 09:24 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 05-28 09:19 | FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.99 |
| 05-28 09:11 | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4020819039 | $2.19 |
| 05-25 08:57 | Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.85B? | BUY | 0.2599999188 | $2.05 |
| 05-25 08:46 | Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B? | BUY | 0.4599999719 | $2.29 |
| 05-23 11:38 | Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine? | BUY | 0.2799999122 | $2.04 |
| 05-22 11:06 | Will Trump attend his son's wedding? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |