PolyBot

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Traders

DroolingBear

0x28bfdc48eab262fcfad3506d2798e258e401ae14

Realised P&L
$-879.45
Volume
$76.1k
Markets traded
473
Open portfolio
$359.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded473
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20? · Yes0.8410.978$332.55+$46.47
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? · Yes0.3050.585$25.66+$12.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20? · Yes0.5150.005$0.92−$85.12
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions0.6000.082$0.40−$2.52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.4140.045$0.07−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 20? · Yes0.0300.001$0.02−$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 10? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 7? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$16.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 10? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00−$16.33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00−$18.10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$8.62
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · Doosan Bears0.4670.000$0.00−$236.74
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos · NC Dinos0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 04:29Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?BUY0.961$80.75
10-20 04:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?BUY0.96$26.41
10-20 04:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?BUY0.959$23.97
10-20 04:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?SELL0.34$1.70
10-20 03:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?SELL0.2$2.04
10-17 05:58Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?SELL0.15$4.50
10-17 05:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?SELL0.17$4.28
10-17 05:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?SELL0.19$3.79
10-14 07:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?SELL0.05$2.00
10-14 07:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?SELL0.051$1.07
10-12 08:41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13?BUY0.5$8.01
10-10 13:26Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on October 10?BUY0.001$0.04
10-10 13:25Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 10?BUY0.005$0.38
10-10 01:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.18$1.44
10-09 15:22KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia TigersBUY0.73$725.82