0x28bd5468cb80ca2b45bc33f338b70fa0f3eb36f0
- Realised P&L
- $134.28
- Volume
- $257.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.017 | $3.5k | +$576.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$419.87at 0.610Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$316.12at 0.242England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$24.38at 0.605Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
- +$3.04at 0.141Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$1.98at 0.600Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 07:32 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.43 |
| 07-19 16:02 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $128.02 |
| 07-19 16:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.408 | $138.72 |
| 07-19 14:31 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 22:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199999995 | $201.52 |
| 07-15 21:49 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 20:40 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2424999986 | $101.20 |
| 07-15 20:40 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.011 | $110.00 |
| 07-14 21:01 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0126918198 | $214.84 |
| 07-14 21:01 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $231.10 |
| 07-14 20:26 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1074999991 | $97.08 |
| 07-14 20:26 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $105.00 |
| 07-14 20:00 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.349999998 | $79.65 |
| 07-14 20:00 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.425208 | $85.04 |
| 07-14 19:56 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3599999965 | $61.96 |