0x28bd5468cb80ca2b45bc33f338b70fa0f3eb36f0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $402.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.007 | $1.7k | −$1.1k |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.565 | $252.17 | +$2.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$406.35at 0.622Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$346.86at 0.113Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$311.78at 0.253England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$73.13at 0.734US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
- +$49.50at 0.802US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999728 | $4.94 |
| 09-16 16:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.559999999 | $45.00 |
| 09-16 16:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 16:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 11:48 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $95.76 |
| 09-13 01:36 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.419999979 | $1.60 |
| 09-13 01:36 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.42 | $105.00 |
| 09-13 01:32 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0069117207 | $103.68 |
| 09-07 06:05 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0123835349 | $126.04 |
| 09-07 05:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999994 | $115.00 |
| 09-07 05:35 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.20 |
| 09-07 05:05 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.21 |
| 09-07 04:53 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0102581501 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 18:39 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.7199999469 | $2.71 |
| 09-06 18:39 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.72 | $45.00 |