goldstud
0x28bc6144423105a6277da67984e7e0102a1712f7
- Realised P&L
- $362.97
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.645 | $258.00 | +$76.00 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.072 | 0.860 | $219.64 | +$201.31 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? · No | 0.104 | 0.951 | $190.10 | +$169.30 |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.185 | $180.59 | −$48.93 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.285 | $114.00 | +$68.00 |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.255 | $76.50 | −$10.50 |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.110 | $33.00 | +$24.00 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.115 | $23.00 | +$18.00 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.051 | $15.15 | −$8.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.00at 0.340Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.380Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?
- +$-8.84at 0.073Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?
- +$-10.90at 0.109Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?
- +$-12.80at 0.064Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?