0x28b8AbFbC98CAa761F9227802aCd69217124Ffb3-1779310204764
0x28b8abfbc98caa761f9227802acd69217124ffb3
- Realised P&L
- $-20.10
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $21.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.160 | $18.39 | −$9.61 |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.125 | $3.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.19at 0.051Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
- +$0.90at 0.042Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.73at 0.195Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
- +$-0.76at 0.347Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife
- +$-0.83at 0.062Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 08:14 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.0701569762 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 13:02 | Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.1479999599 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 13:04 | Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:04 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 12:08 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999892 | $13.00 |
| 06-10 14:47 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3560091231 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 14:44 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0465590777 | $8.78 |
| 06-08 09:55 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34179684 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 16:20 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.27 | $2.84 |
| 06-07 12:39 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 06-06 17:35 | Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife | SELL | 0.09 | $0.26 |
| 06-06 16:52 | Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 14:22 | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | SELL | 0.03 | $0.33 |
| 06-06 13:40 | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 15:32 | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.012 | $0.20 |