0x28b7b098b4115541208a539477367e4bb98bfde2
- Realised P&L
- $4.68
- Volume
- $168.24
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $13.50
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.999 | $2.94 | +$0.94 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.435 | $2.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.245 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.470 | 0.465 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.300 | $1.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.205 | $0.87 | −$1.13 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.450 | 0.175 | $0.78 | −$1.22 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.250 | 0.095 | $0.76 | −$1.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.71at 0.350Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.98at 0.340Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$1.95at 0.400Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.73at 0.427Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$1.55at 0.487Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:17 | Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 06:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 10:12 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 02:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 18:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 10:06 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.588999886 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:22 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:12 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:11 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 04:29 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:29 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 12:29 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999153 | $1.72 |