0x28b0282e17a305b205abdb228cc5707fac9a6969
0x28b0282e17a305b205abdb228cc5707fac9a6969
- Realised P&L
- $4.69
- Volume
- $105.90
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $17.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah vs. Kings · Utah | 0.500 | 0.505 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.85 | −$0.05 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 185.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.485 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants · No | 0.500 | 0.535 | $2.92 | +$0.19 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.37 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.93 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.58 |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.74 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.26at 0.370Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
- +$9.15at 0.50049ers vs. Rams: O/U 60.5
- +$4.63at 0.500Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5
- +$4.26at 0.500M25 Casablanca: Yassine Dlimi vs Arthur Nagel
- +$3.25at 0.500M25 Meerbusch: Romain Faucon vs Amar Tahirovic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 20:44 | Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.45 | $2.93 |
| 09-05 20:35 | San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.54 | $4.74 |
| 09-05 17:28 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | SELL | 0.21 | $1.36 |
| 09-05 17:26 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.2999999227 | $1.94 |
| 09-05 01:46 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.65 | $3.94 |
| 09-04 19:27 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $4.37 |