owwween
0x28a89977683332b4b0088df34df6a26cc5f52f9e
- Realised P&L
- $2.55
- Volume
- $103.05
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $40.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.520 | $16.60 | +$1.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16? · No | 0.661 | 0.725 | $10.97 | +$0.97 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14? · No | 0.450 | 0.775 | $8.61 | +$3.61 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.445 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.6611184499 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 16:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 16:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $8.10 |
| 10-14 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |