STONE
0x2897c3f47017f54c4df591eafb7598be93010a12
- Realised P&L
- $-874.75
- Volume
- $74.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.021 | $1.1k | +$85.82 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.072 | $41.45 | +$11.15 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes | 0.727 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.310Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$359.60at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$232.44at 0.780Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$85.65at 0.650Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$74.48at 0.795Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 12:58 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0182352849 | $105.02 |
| 06-19 09:25 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 09:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.1k |
| 06-09 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 09:58 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.29 |
| 05-28 14:10 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $505.38 |
| 05-22 06:43 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY | 0.9 | $461.70 |
| 05-20 08:43 | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $414.90 |
| 05-18 07:46 | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | BUY | 0.9735149639 | $404.01 |
| 05-07 09:03 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $43.12 |
| 05-03 14:13 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.995 | $247.17 |
| 03-31 08:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.65 | $161.47 |
| 12-13 13:47 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.8199999992 | $99.30 |
| 11-02 14:23 | Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | BUY | 0.996 | $98.90 |