dberwegerCH
0x288d3c0a69966ef5b8b6549232e5b8e52b2cf517
- Realised P&L
- $-109.65
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 681
- Open portfolio
- $2.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded681
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howard vs. Rutgers · Rutgers | 0.980 | 0.987 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Navy vs. UAB · Navy | 0.720 | 0.705 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Harvard vs. Brown · Harvard | 0.910 | 0.825 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Packers | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.24at 0.243Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$29.81at 0.311Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$15.69at 0.113Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$13.62at 0.704Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
- +$13.04at 0.347Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 21:24 | Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:23 | Dana White's Contender Series: Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:23 | Harvard vs. Brown | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:23 | Howard vs. Rutgers | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:23 | Navy vs. UAB | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:22 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:22 | San Diego 2: Jack Kennedy vs Liam Draxl | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:19 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:10 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $500 on September 22? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.51 |
| 09-11 14:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.42 |
| 09-10 17:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 16:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 21:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 18:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.13 |