FARQ12
0x2887547907fb1bfd0ed1812d1104e01f88cc3103
- Realised P&L
- $-2.66
- Volume
- $301.71
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $10.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.200 | $3.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.245 | $2.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.175 | $2.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.086 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.002 | $0.09 | −$0.93 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.81at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$-1.74at 0.115Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 21:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 21:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 21:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0939999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.04 |
| 09-16 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $4.98 |
| 09-16 18:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.04 |
| 09-11 16:12 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.60 |
| 09-11 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.95 |