0x2883f2b5af7561d5ce66cd7154690f7ece3c5bc9
0x2883f2b5af7561d5ce66cd7154690f7ece3c5bc9
- Realised P&L
- $0.71
- Volume
- $137.09
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $2.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.370 | 0.395 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.355 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.120 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:09 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:51 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:37 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:31 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:33 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:31 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:02 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:11 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |