0x2881B6F7AB10Da79F89870320811De5244912091-1771867892446
0x2881b6f7ab10da79f89870320811de5244912091
- Realised P&L
- $-16.6k
- Volume
- $749.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.029 | $8.7k | −$22.8k |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.075 | $1.8k | −$4.5k |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.036 | $276.35 | −$995.80 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.66 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) · Manchester City FC | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.01 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes | 0.542 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.6k |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · Manchester City FC | 0.706 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$193.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.074Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?
- +$3.4kat 0.511Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.670US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$698.39at 0.590Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
- +$671.74at 0.690Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 08:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.0k |
| 07-08 08:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.0k |
| 07-08 08:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.3k |
| 07-08 08:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999997 | $200.00 |
| 06-11 16:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.0k |
| 06-10 23:26 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1398502089 | $4.8k |
| 06-10 23:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1395330946 | $5.6k |
| 06-10 22:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.8k |
| 06-10 22:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.1240605777 | $6.9k |
| 06-10 22:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $4.0k |
| 05-30 18:47 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.4597363778 | $12.0k |
| 05-11 08:57 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999981 | $36.00 |
| 05-11 08:56 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.6k |
| 05-11 04:17 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $9.5k |
| 05-11 04:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $27.00 |