PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2881B6F7AB10Da79F89870320811De5244912091-1771867892446

0x2881b6f7ab10da79f89870320811de5244912091

Realised P&L
$-16.6k
Volume
$749.2k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$10.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1030.029$8.7k−$22.8k
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2660.075$1.8k−$4.5k
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1680.036$276.35−$995.80
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$21.66
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) · Manchester City FC0.4880.000$0.00−$149.01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.5420.000$0.00−$3.6k
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · Manchester City FC0.7060.000$0.00−$2.2k
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00−$193.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 08:17Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.07$3.0k
07-08 08:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.07$4.0k
07-08 08:12Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.07$4.3k
07-08 08:12Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0699999997$200.00
06-11 16:12Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.11$4.0k
06-10 23:26Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1398502089$4.8k
06-10 23:12Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1395330946$5.6k
06-10 22:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.13$1.8k
06-10 22:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.1240605777$6.9k
06-10 22:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.13$4.0k
05-30 18:47Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.4597363778$12.0k
05-11 08:57Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5799999981$36.00
05-11 08:56Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.58$5.6k
05-11 04:17Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.58$9.5k
05-11 04:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$27.00