0x288132e76db9b4d919c119640c25998443d86b26
0x288132e76db9b4d919c119640c25998443d86b26
- Realised P&L
- $-1.55
- Volume
- $389.70
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.510 | 0.505 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.145 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$4.67at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.339Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 21:09 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:09 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:14 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:14 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:54 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2459999788 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:42 | Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 13:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:23 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:35 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:56 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |