PolyBot

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Traders

RaffaelBalasanyan

0x287ee316656f5824fec4db0770ab8d1a58c1cbf5

Realised P&L
$-445.18
Volume
$174.1k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$9.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4810.044$9.24$90.76
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$3.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00$6.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$3.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$15.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$20.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$3.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.98
Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$4.80
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$0.25
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$2.00
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$10.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$1.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.2900.000$0.00$58.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 03:22UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2899999966$58.95
07-05 23:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.345$29.40
07-05 23:20Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.173$28.21
07-04 18:11Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$30.00
07-04 18:10Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999994$30.00
07-04 00:47Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$0.44
07-02 19:06Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$15.00
07-02 14:13Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$20.00
07-02 14:12Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$20.00
07-02 14:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1839999953$30.00
07-02 14:12Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3519999954$30.00
07-01 21:38Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0114407798$19.07
07-01 20:16Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$10.00
07-01 17:38Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$10.00
07-01 15:50Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$10.00