RaffaelBalasanyan
0x287ee316656f5824fec4db0770ab8d1a58c1cbf5
- Realised P&L
- $-445.18
- Volume
- $174.1k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $9.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$354.16at 0.030Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?
- +$166.09at 0.145Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?
- +$119.42at 0.215Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$75.68at 0.208Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$56.85at 0.051Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 03:22 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2899999966 | $58.95 |
| 07-05 23:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.345 | $29.40 |
| 07-05 23:20 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.173 | $28.21 |
| 07-04 18:11 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $30.00 |
| 07-04 18:10 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999994 | $30.00 |
| 07-04 00:47 | Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.44 |
| 07-02 19:06 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $15.00 |
| 07-02 14:13 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 14:12 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 14:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1839999953 | $30.00 |
| 07-02 14:12 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3519999954 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 21:38 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0114407798 | $19.07 |
| 07-01 20:16 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 17:38 | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 15:50 | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |