PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sgeymsbak

0x2879d10fc3e1c3dcd38e07f681587de16f96a894

Realised P&L
$-380.81
Volume
$98.1k
Markets traded
270
Open portfolio
$33.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded270
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0110.149$13.20+$12.20
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0360.026$3.61$1.39
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0100.035$3.50+$2.50
Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0020.006$3.25+$2.25
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0430.025$2.94$2.06
Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next? · Yes0.0050.007$1.49+$0.49
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0030.004$1.33+$0.33
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0040.004$0.89$0.11
Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next? · Yes0.0030.003$0.83$0.17
Will the Union for Central African Renewal win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0080.004$0.50$0.50
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0030.002$0.50$0.50
Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? · Yes0.0060.002$0.23$0.77
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? · Yes0.0090.002$0.17$0.83
Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next? · Yes0.0100.002$0.15$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-06 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-28 20:04Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.01$0.20
03-28 19:59Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-26 14:58Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-26 14:57Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.2296650399$4.92
03-26 14:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-26 14:54Solana Up or Down - March 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-26 14:49Solana Up or Down - March 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-26 10:49Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?BUY0.005$1.00
03-26 10:49Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?BUY0.004$1.00
03-26 10:46Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
03-26 10:45Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
03-26 10:41Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.004$2.00
03-26 10:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.004$2.00
03-26 09:55Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?SELL0.44$72.44