PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mahermahmud

0x28753ca6457dc22aaaa5a790b60767a6969bcf51

Realised P&L
$-11.37
Volume
$521.72
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$2.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs Nepal · Nepal0.6000.715$1.19+$0.19
Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs Namibia · USA0.6500.645$0.99−$0.01
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8AM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.6690.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.7600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 21:03Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs NamibiaBUY0.649999805$1.00
10-12 21:03Cricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs NepalBUY0.59999988$1.00
10-12 21:02Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs NamibiaSELL0.62$0.74
10-10 09:52Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs NamibiaBUY0.84$1.00
10-09 20:49Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs UAEBUY0.8$1.00
10-09 20:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.469999906$1.00
10-09 20:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSELL0.86$1.13
10-09 20:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-17 13:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-14 10:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.79$1.03
09-14 10:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-13 10:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.73$1.26
09-13 10:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-13 10:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.36$0.57
09-13 10:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.6299998362$1.00