mahermahmud
0x28753ca6457dc22aaaa5a790b60767a6969bcf51
- Realised P&L
- $-11.37
- Volume
- $521.72
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $2.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.12at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$1.48at 0.407Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$1.45at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$1.11at 0.477Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$0.91at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 21:03 | Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs Namibia | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:03 | Cricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs Nepal | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:02 | Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs Namibia | SELL | 0.62 | $0.74 |
| 10-10 09:52 | Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs Namibia | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:49 | Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs UAE | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $1.13 |
| 10-09 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $1.03 |
| 09-14 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $1.26 |
| 09-13 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $0.57 |
| 09-13 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |