0x286bb6ead3c9b8ff8e9387f85828ca9bcbdc3784
0x286bb6ead3c9b8ff8e9387f85828ca9bcbdc3784
- Realised P&L
- $-255.79
- Volume
- $27.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $197.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys · Quentin Halys | 0.460 | 0.455 | $197.83 | −$2.17 |
| Will Antigua GFC win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$47.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$438.61at 0.462Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02?
- +$327.02at 0.479Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$281.14at 0.598Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-10-01?
- +$277.63at 0.550Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-26?
- +$168.84at 0.588Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 05:32 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys | BUY | 0.4599999997 | $200.00 |
| 10-03 05:12 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BUY | 0.6552556807 | $140.00 |
| 10-03 05:11 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys | SELL | 0.36 | $46.15 |
| 10-03 05:08 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BUY | 0.6599999988 | $140.00 |
| 10-03 05:07 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 04:42 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SELL | 0.999 | $216.49 |
| 10-03 04:37 | China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu | BUY | 0.617999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-03 04:34 | China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu | SELL | 0.4403288633 | $97.85 |
| 10-03 04:29 | China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu | BUY | 0.4499999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 04:13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 04:07 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $90.00 |
| 10-03 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $44.30 |
| 10-03 04:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999961 | $32.00 |
| 10-03 04:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999929 | $32.00 |
| 10-03 03:55 | El Salvador vs. Jamaica: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $175.25 |