0x2865b0825976944E2362b0BFF358322963e4F1c1-1762196064827
0x2865b0825976944e2362b0bff358322963e4f1c1
- Realised P&L
- $42.28
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $13.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.21at 0.270Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$15.72at 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.01at 0.255Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
- +$7.40at 0.165Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
- +$6.10at 0.146Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:15 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.0659999963 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 17:15 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.96 |
| 10-08 02:52 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.1714285695 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 00:44 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 23:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.04 |
| 09-26 18:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.2479999835 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 18:42 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.99 |
| 09-26 18:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 18:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.561 | $7.04 |
| 09-26 18:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.57 | $10.69 |
| 09-26 18:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.57 | $7.70 |
| 09-13 15:10 | Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 15:08 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 11:55 | Manchester United FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 15:29 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |