PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2865b0825976944E2362b0BFF358322963e4F1c1-1762196064827

0x2865b0825976944e2362b0bff358322963e4f1c1

Realised P&L
$42.28
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$13.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 17:15Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Neither team to score first?BUY0.0659999963$1.00
10-13 17:15Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.24$3.96
10-08 02:52Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?BUY0.1714285695$10.00
10-08 00:44Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?BUY0.2$20.00
10-04 23:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.16$3.04
09-26 18:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.2479999835$3.00
09-26 18:42Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.46$2.99
09-26 18:39Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-26 18:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.561$7.04
09-26 18:38Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.57$10.69
09-26 18:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.57$7.70
09-13 15:10Bruno Fernandes: Anytime GoalscorerBUY0.25$1.00
09-13 15:08Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.32$1.00
08-22 11:55Manchester United FC leading at halftime?BUY0.1$1.00
08-20 15:29Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.089999919$1.00