PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Muftawu

0x28614f7d2d64332e170b22e0ee50d6b51edeb35e

Realised P&L
$-26.09
Volume
$176.96
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$4.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 20:03Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.0496659564$1.86
10-03 19:54Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.5499999241$2.90
10-02 08:30Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-02 08:00Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-02 08:00Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-15 08:47Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.3412237896$5.21
09-11 15:07Will Trump say "Terrorist" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?SELL0.01$0.18
09-11 10:56Will Trump say "Beautiful" 4+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?BUY0.389999982$6.71
09-11 10:55Will Trump say "Terrorist" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?BUY0.1699999983$3.00
08-26 12:54Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?BUY0.3129999208$1.98
08-25 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-25 20:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-25 18:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.68$2.00
08-25 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSELL0.82$2.52
08-25 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.6499999025$2.00