PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x285e6a6d7f4f8b5f64fb23ac351a0b41844af38c

Realised P&L
$-24.7k
Volume
$2.17M
Markets traded
595
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded595
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? · No0.2310.295$1.2k+$249.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? · No0.0510.040$572.19$161.33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? · No0.1460.175$324.15+$53.79
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.2350.085$258.26$455.20
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 4? · No0.1700.085$200.69$200.57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? · No0.0470.038$175.73$40.59
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.1900.115$121.05$78.95
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? · No0.0800.090$112.50+$12.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? · No0.3380.370$109.37+$9.37
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 6? · No0.0600.055$91.67$8.33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? · No0.1190.095$79.96$20.04
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 4? · No0.0800.016$60.00$240.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.013$54.26+$4.26
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 5? · No0.0450.024$53.33$46.66
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4? · No0.0670.029$42.43$57.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:12WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 3?BUY0.1683168303$100.00
08-02 20:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.0310783273$100.00
08-02 20:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?BUY0.0473928836$216.32
08-02 20:21Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7?BUY0.08$100.00
08-02 20:21Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 6?BUY0.0599999995$100.00
08-02 20:21Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 5?BUY0.0449999996$100.00
08-02 20:03Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4?BUY0.099949026$100.00
08-02 19:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?BUY0.0124347177$30.00
08-02 18:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
08-02 18:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.0341193287$104.32
08-02 15:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.171770967$100.00
08-02 14:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4?BUY0.2$70.36
08-02 14:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4?BUY0.2$100.00
08-02 14:13Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 4?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
08-02 02:18Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 4?BUY0.1599205403$201.26