0x285e6a6d7f4f8b5f64fb23ac351a0b41844af38c
- Realised P&L
- $-24.7k
- Volume
- $2.17M
- Markets traded
- 595
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded595
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.042Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?
- +$1.2kat 0.089Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?
- +$1.1kat 0.070Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
- +$1.0kat 0.030Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?
- +$858.14at 0.076Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:12 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 3? | BUY | 0.1683168303 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.0310783273 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.0473928836 | $216.32 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 6? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0449999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.099949026 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 19:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0124347177 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 18:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0341193287 | $104.32 |
| 08-02 15:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.171770967 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $70.36 |
| 08-02 14:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:13 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 02:18 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1599205403 | $201.26 |