gioffre
0x2859da0a5126614c04311dbc7cfeb71bd5da88a0
- Realised P&L
- $104.82
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · No | 0.168 | 0.175 | $924.41 | +$37.44 |
| Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.170 | $223.64 | −$91.57 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? · Yes | 0.285 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.24at 0.696Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$49.64at 0.934Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$40.00at 0.881Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$25.90at 0.930Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$12.87at 0.951Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 12-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:33 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1787932386 | $15.00 |
| 08-30 14:49 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1969667126 | $60.00 |
| 08-29 12:03 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1899999016 | $1.39 |
| 08-27 17:59 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.2596738033 | $238.82 |
| 08-25 10:04 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.2120277538 | $50.00 |
| 08-25 00:58 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.309999996 | $43.00 |
| 08-16 16:11 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 16:09 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1205511958 | $70.00 |
| 08-16 16:07 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $50.00 |
| 08-12 23:49 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1587893318 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 23:47 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1488298115 | $8.00 |
| 08-12 23:46 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1302570372 | $49.00 |
| 08-06 15:27 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1398620329 | $62.00 |
| 08-03 00:54 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1612451867 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 00:45 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1302501795 | $44.00 |