sallymann
0x285737bb201d4790b20afcfbc8a07b91ad1d6d01
- Realised P&L
- $-2.58
- Volume
- $92.33
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $7.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.979 | 0.957 | $2.76 | −$0.07 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.962 | $1.71 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20? · No | 0.973 | 0.981 | $1.63 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.990 | $1.24 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.13at 0.910Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.09at 0.923Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.04at 0.980Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.02at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 31?
- +$-2.86at 0.037Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.25 |
| 09-16 00:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9679999865 | $1.72 |
| 09-16 00:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9729998547 | $1.62 |
| 09-09 11:11 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9789999952 | $2.83 |
| 09-09 11:10 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9079999706 | $1.36 |
| 09-03 07:54 | Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9209999967 | $1.13 |
| 09-03 07:53 | Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.0359999872 | $2.78 |
| 09-03 07:51 | Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9789999989 | $1.83 |
| 08-30 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.9929999986 | $2.90 |