PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x28563B16D772Ff773555404334281E0E640cC8F9-1779377698428

0x28563b16d772ff773555404334281e0e640cc8f9

Realised P&L
$624.96
Volume
$46.2k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$790.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? · Yes0.4750.565$654.46+$104.47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes0.2160.195$135.33$14.67
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.4960.001$0.33$323.52
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$5.13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 26? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$151.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 26? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$93.61
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 14? · Yes0.4620.000$0.00$711.66
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 15? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00$400.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 30? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00$60.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.7800.000$0.00$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 30? · Yes0.5170.000$0.00$160.35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2? · Yes0.4790.000$0.00$185.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:19Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.2599903642$20.00
08-03 19:15Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.2106708456$130.00
08-03 04:13Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.5$5.00
08-03 04:13Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.5$14.86
08-03 03:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?SELL0.3801129486$70.34
08-03 03:52Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.4747315341$550.00
08-03 03:49Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.3649019608$3.72
08-03 03:48Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.35$3.00
08-03 03:47Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?SELL0.4930457769$152.94
08-03 03:43Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 2?SELL0.9983527956$1.3k
08-02 21:05Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?SELL0.0352907489$13.62
08-01 22:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?BUY0.4799999957$40.00
08-01 19:23Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?BUY0.489999998$30.00
08-01 19:22Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 2?BUY0.3652108281$450.00
08-01 19:21Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?BUY0.4782835993$300.00