0x28523fddba7c9f41c96ebdd9abacc21c16c02c6c
0x28523fddba7c9f41c96ebdd9abacc21c16c02c6c
- Realised P&L
- $2.14
- Volume
- $58.46
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $3.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? · Down | 0.400 | 0.993 | $2.48 | +$1.48 |
| Will BlackBerry say "Nvidia" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.660 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.190 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.278WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on September 16?
- +$1.75at 0.369WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.20at 0.460Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.659Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:30 | Will BlackBerry say "Nvidia" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 06:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:26 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:29 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:44 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 06:42 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on September 16? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:19 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 23:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:59 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:37 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.92 |
| 09-02 01:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 08:34 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |