muller.
0x285109735e915f14038a2f41322814e0d6b46b8c
- Realised P&L
- $14.8k
- Volume
- $1.70M
- Markets traded
- 1,479
- Open portfolio
- $5.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,479
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.019Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
- +$1.5kat 0.024Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
- +$1.5kat 0.074Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?
- +$1.2kat 0.109Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?
- +$948.68at 0.021Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 11:00 | Chengdu Open (Doubles): Hu/Lu vs Wang/Zhou | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 09-25 10:07 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp | SELL | 0.13 | $19.37 |
| 09-25 10:07 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.09 | $12.96 |
| 09-25 10:05 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp | SELL | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 09-25 10:04 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.9063358 | $453.17 |
| 09-25 09:44 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-25 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.9975226049 | $122.24 |
| 09-25 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.08 |
| 09-25 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.7 | $105.00 |
| 09-25 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0172141064 | $3.77 |
| 09-25 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-25 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.268396065 | $25.10 |
| 09-25 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.41 |
| 09-25 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 07:56 | Game Spread: Jenson Brooksby (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Sonego (+1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |