PolyBot

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Traders

muller.

0x285109735e915f14038a2f41322814e0d6b46b8c

Realised P&L
$14.8k
Volume
$1.70M
Markets traded
1,479
Open portfolio
$5.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,479
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 25? · Yes0.0030.001$1.06−$5.24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 25? · Yes0.0050.001$0.95−$8.59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 25? · Yes0.0030.001$0.91−$4.90
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on September 25? · Yes0.0010.001$0.83−$1.64
Chengdu Open (Doubles): Galloway/Goransson vs Mannarino/Muller · Mannarino/Muller0.0200.005$0.55−$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25? · Yes0.0290.001$0.47−$27.27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on September 25? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25−$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27? · No0.2690.000$0.00−$74.54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 21? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29? · No0.4910.000$0.00−$147.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on April 30? · No0.7140.000$0.00−$39.73
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 3? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$11.57
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 9? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$18.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$9.13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 11:00Chengdu Open (Doubles): Hu/Lu vs Wang/ZhouSELL0.991$4.96
09-25 10:07Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de ZandschulpSELL0.13$19.37
09-25 10:07Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de ZandschulpBUY0.09$12.96
09-25 10:05Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de ZandschulpSELL0.95$475.00
09-25 10:04Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de ZandschulpBUY0.9063358$453.17
09-25 09:44Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de ZandschulpBUY0.36$1.80
09-25 09:08Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?SELL0.9975226049$122.24
09-25 09:07Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?SELL0.999$15.08
09-25 08:40Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?SELL0.7$105.00
09-25 08:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 25?BUY0.0172141064$3.77
09-25 08:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.28$2.80
09-25 07:59Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.268396065$25.10
09-25 07:58Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.28$7.41
09-25 07:56Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.5$25.00
09-25 07:56Game Spread: Jenson Brooksby (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Sonego (+1.5)SELL0.999$49.95