unro
0x284f1c64a18bea86da617671dbaa63660bbc2479
- Realised P&L
- $-247.40
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.115 | $2.29 | +$0.59 |
| Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.52at 0.728Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)
- +$10.86at 0.080Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.79at 0.080US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
- +$7.04at 0.110Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
- +$0.86at 0.020Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:47 | Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $18.14 |
| 08-08 02:47 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | SELL | 0.034 | $29.92 |
| 07-24 06:09 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $88.11 |
| 07-09 11:04 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31? | SELL | 0.028 | $7.56 |
| 06-08 07:05 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $27.00 |
| 06-08 07:05 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $27.30 |
| 05-27 09:11 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $28.44 |
| 05-27 09:11 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $32.98 |
| 05-27 05:37 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $63.96 |
| 05-27 05:37 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $82.20 |
| 05-26 09:15 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $138.00 |
| 05-26 09:11 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $50.96 |
| 05-26 09:11 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $25.20 |
| 05-26 09:11 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $24.50 |
| 05-22 07:21 | Spread: Club ABB (-1.5) | BUY | 0.91 | $642.46 |