PolyBot

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Traders

unro

0x284f1c64a18bea86da617671dbaa63660bbc2479

Realised P&L
$-247.40
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$2.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? · Yes0.0850.115$2.29+$0.59
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$35.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 04:47Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?SELL0.021$18.14
08-08 02:47Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?SELL0.034$29.92
07-24 06:09US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?SELL0.09$88.11
07-09 11:04U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?SELL0.028$7.56
06-08 07:05Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?SELL0.1$27.00
06-08 07:05Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?SELL0.1$27.30
05-27 09:11Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?SELL0.045$28.44
05-27 09:11Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?SELL0.045$32.98
05-27 05:37Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.12$63.96
05-27 05:37Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.12$82.20
05-26 09:15Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?BUY0.92$138.00
05-26 09:11Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?SELL0.07$50.96
05-26 09:11Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?SELL0.07$25.20
05-26 09:11Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?SELL0.07$24.50
05-22 07:21Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)BUY0.91$642.46