taketwobruw
0x284bc0347e7c9c677077bc05df32acf72cfbf1dd
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $145.5k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $752.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.055 | $540.83 | −$989.74 |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.090 | $211.98 | −$93.89 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.287 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ goals · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$582.13at 0.377Will "The Voice of Hind Rajab" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$445.00at 0.310Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
- +$332.47at 0.235Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$325.93at 0.353Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$265.12at 0.430Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:29 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.1475823833 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 14:49 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.34 | $40.80 |
| 10-06 14:48 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $89.12 |
| 10-06 14:48 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.15 | $40.26 |
| 10-06 13:48 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-06 13:46 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 10-06 13:46 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.293997594 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 13:42 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.11 | $30.71 |
| 07-29 16:34 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 07-29 16:34 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.35 | $144.18 |
| 07-16 18:48 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 18:48 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 18:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999987 | $150.00 |
| 07-16 18:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.689999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-16 18:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |