PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

taketwobruw

0x284bc0347e7c9c677077bc05df32acf72cfbf1dd

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$145.5k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$752.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes0.1560.055$540.83−$989.74
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes0.1300.090$211.98−$93.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? · Yes0.3440.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$50.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00−$100.00
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 · Over0.2870.000$0.00−$125.00
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$25.00
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$50.00
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$25.00
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00−$1.1k
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$50.00
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$50.00
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.1110.000$0.00−$75.00
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 17:29Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.1475823833$100.00
10-06 14:49Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.34$40.80
10-06 14:48Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.16$89.12
10-06 14:48Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.15$40.26
10-06 13:48Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.23$4.60
10-06 13:46Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.1$0.50
10-06 13:46Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.293997594$100.00
10-06 13:42Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.11$30.71
07-29 16:34Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?SELL0.21$105.00
07-29 16:34Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.35$144.18
07-16 18:48Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY0.2299999968$50.00
07-16 18:48Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.3599999977$50.00
07-16 18:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999987$150.00
07-16 18:48Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.689999999$200.00
07-16 18:47Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5BUY0.4$100.00