rojasaome
0x2846e2b7df911ed075edd08db1f72825f308bc44
- Realised P&L
- $7.67
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $52.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.099 | $50.06 | −$285.35 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.108 | $2.75 | −$6.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.88at 0.919Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$10.65at 0.975Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$3.09at 0.890Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
- +$2.30at 0.946Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$1.94at 0.720Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 03:14 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1931826862 | $3.03 |
| 06-10 11:11 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4199999483 | $2.76 |
| 06-10 11:10 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2471000935 | $2.64 |
| 05-25 08:46 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.58 |
| 01-23 02:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $415.38 |
| 01-23 02:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $62.53 |
| 01-12 02:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9196682758 | $424.79 |
| 01-12 02:39 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.998 | $424.79 |
| 01-12 02:38 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.999 | $425.21 |
| 01-12 02:38 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.998 | $425.22 |
| 01-12 02:38 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.999 | $425.65 |
| 01-12 02:37 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.952 | $425.65 |
| 01-12 02:36 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9559999999 | $427.44 |
| 01-12 02:34 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.96 | $427.44 |
| 01-12 02:34 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9609999993 | $427.89 |