Funkydonky
0x2844412a16525f6d385ed7d7128c3ab480575aa1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $628.8k
- Markets traded
- 490
- Open portfolio
- $31.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded490
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$900.00at 0.100US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$569.95at 0.035Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$131.14at 0.097Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$65.40at 0.379Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-03?
- +$62.63at 0.800Will Morocco win on 2026-01-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 10-05 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.57 |
| 10-05 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.05 |
| 10-05 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-28 05:30 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.196962552 | $1.42 |
| 08-27 17:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.31 |
| 08-27 17:01 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.76 |
| 08-27 15:41 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 08-27 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.01 |
| 08-27 14:28 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1929998889 | $1.36 |
| 08-27 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-27 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 27? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.69 |
| 08-27 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 27? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.86 |
| 08-27 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 27? | SELL | 0.062 | $2.48 |