0x2843CeBa9B9F5FBA7B22f3A57B415773cb3845ce-1773489803824
0x2843ceba9b9f5fba7b22f3a57b415773cb3845ce
- Realised P&L
- $-1.07
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $14.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $14.98 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.62at 0.977Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 1?
- +$0.32at 0.987Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?
- +$0.16at 0.988Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 07-03 06:55 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 07:52 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.72 |
| 05-22 04:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.96 |
| 05-19 04:12 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 05-11 08:09 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $7.44 |
| 04-25 04:17 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $8.47 |
| 04-23 08:17 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-22 09:07 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.73 |
| 04-21 08:28 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.01 |
| 04-20 07:44 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 03-17 08:41 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.968 | $218.41 |
| 02-28 16:34 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.25 |
| 02-12 01:01 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February? | BUY | 0.986999984 | $25.94 |