PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2843CeBa9B9F5FBA7B22f3A57B415773cb3845ce-1773489803824

0x2843ceba9b9f5fba7b22f3a57b415773cb3845ce

Realised P&L
$-1.07
Volume
$27.0k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$14.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No0.9980.999$14.98+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 08:57Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30?BUY0.998$14.97
07-03 06:55Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$8.04
06-22 07:52Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$9.72
05-22 04:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 25?BUY0.997$13.96
05-19 04:12Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$9.92
05-11 08:09Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.003$7.44
04-25 04:17Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$8.47
04-23 08:17Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.99
04-22 09:07Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.007$9.73
04-21 08:28Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$10.01
04-20 07:44Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.84
03-17 08:41Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.968$218.41
02-28 16:34Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?SELL0.999$26.25
02-12 01:01Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?BUY0.986999984$25.94