0x28438d4EE369034042a134805364F509B157C1ED-1733762470892
0x28438d4ee369034042a134805364f509b157c1ed
- Realised P&L
- $16.08
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $18.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $18.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.53at 0.680TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$0.34at 0.997Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?
- +$0.29at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$0.26at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 5?
- +$0.21at 0.998Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.00 |
| 09-28 10:04 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $27.00 |
| 09-28 02:51 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $56.80 |
| 09-22 22:39 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 20:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.995 | $35.80 |
| 09-16 20:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17? | BUY | 0.995 | $32.30 |
| 09-13 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999724 | $28.00 |
| 09-13 04:00 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $36.30 |
| 09-06 08:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.9929999987 | $26.00 |
| 09-05 12:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 5? | BUY | 0.9939999939 | $46.60 |
| 09-03 16:17 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $27.00 |
| 08-29 14:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.10 |
| 08-27 14:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 08-25 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $17.00 |
| 08-23 10:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.50 |