kalendula09
0x283d2f94da9d2307b0eab9ec8088bc52df8d4cad
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $208.4k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.021Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
- +$2.0kat 0.541Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
- +$1.7kat 0.573Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
- +$1.4kat 0.418Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.4kat 0.547Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:09 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | BUY | 0.583 | $1.1k |
| 11-02 17:02 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.548029633 | $276.85 |
| 11-02 16:52 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4089944998 | $408.99 |
| 11-02 16:52 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4069536553 | $228.31 |
| 11-02 16:52 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | BUY | 0.6284246239 | $7.7k |
| 11-02 16:46 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7497247545 | $378.75 |
| 11-02 16:40 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | BUY | 0.5598065153 | $436.48 |
| 11-02 16:37 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | SELL | 0.49 | $355.05 |
| 11-02 16:33 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | BUY | 0.4959999737 | $1.51 |
| 11-02 16:33 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | BUY | 0.4969999995 | $300.00 |
| 11-02 16:33 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | BUY | 0.4959999874 | $15.06 |
| 11-02 16:32 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | BUY | 0.4959999953 | $43.44 |
| 11-01 15:02 | Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $2.6k |
| 11-01 14:40 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.492800656 | $3.1k |
| 11-01 14:11 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $3.0k |